As results pour in from Michigan's Senate primary election, demographic trends find that Abdul El-Sayed performed better in the state's richer and more educated enclaves, while Haley Stevens edged the former health official in poorer, less working class areas.
Reporting done by Politico’s Jessica Piper finds that, out of the more than 20 counties where at least 95 percent of expected ballots are counted, El-Sayed won more than 58 percent of the vote in counties where at least 30 percent of adults have a bachelor's degree, whereas his opponent, Stevens, won 51.4 percent of the vote in counties where less than a 30 percent share of adults are college educated. In similar fashion, El-Sayed is leading Stevens in richer counties, while Stevens is leading in poorer counties.
These results back a trend seen across the country where the far-left wing of the party seems to fare well in higher-income, highly educated areas, whereas more moderate Democrats seem to fare better amongst working-class, non-college-educated voters.
In New York City, Democratic Socialist candidates, including Zohran Mamdani, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America have frequently posted some of their strongest performances in affluent, highly educated neighborhoods throughout Brooklyn and parts of Manhattan, while more moderate Democrats have been more competitive in working-class and outer-borough communities.
In Chicago, far-left candidates such as Brandon Johnson drew significant support from college-educated liberal voters and organized labor during the 2023 mayoral race, while their opponents often ran stronger among more moderate and ethnically diverse working-class neighborhoods. Similar themes have also appeared in congressional primaries, including races involving members of the congressional "Squad," where progressive challengers and incumbents have generally performed best in districts with higher concentrations of college-educated voters.
While local political dynamics always differ, these recurring patterns has refueled longstanding debates within Democratic circles over whether the party's progressive wing increasingly reflects the priorities of upperclass, educated liberals rather than the non-college working-class voters who once formed the backbone of the Democratic coalitions.
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